Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008621 0.010149 0.011987 0.014397 0.017528 0.021542 0.027217
2025-08-31 0.006743 0.008573 0.011035 0.014718 0.020333 0.029052 0.044760
2025-09-07 0.005536 0.007367 0.010005 0.014302 0.021620 0.034743 0.063748
2025-09-14 0.004696 0.006450 0.009103 0.013704 0.022240 0.039479 0.085376
2025-09-21 0.004198 0.005929 0.008665 0.013694 0.023826 0.046939 0.122898
2025-09-28 0.003918 0.005689 0.008612 0.014317 0.026874 0.059812 0.201926
2025-10-05 0.003782 0.005650 0.008879 0.015601 0.031964 0.082880 0.408171
2025-10-12 0.003565 0.005441 0.008798 0.016150 0.035582 0.105919 0.793158
2025-10-19 0.003288 0.005092 0.008397 0.015898 0.036944 0.122585 1.374250
2025-10-26 0.003092 0.004862 0.008188 0.016033 0.039562 0.149617 3.105669
2025-11-02 0.002879 0.004578 0.007831 0.015731 0.040680 0.171572 7.080693
2025-11-09 0.002629 0.004203 0.007244 0.014735 0.039010 0.174207 11.418235
2025-11-16 0.002405 0.003876 0.006756 0.013998 0.038399 0.187588 32.650110
2025-11-23 0.002290 0.003745 0.006667 0.014316 0.042119 0.248986 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002134 0.003520 0.006344 0.013916 0.042753 0.287196 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001983 0.003291 0.005986 0.013340 0.042357 0.315423 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001886 0.003162 0.005833 0.013331 0.044657 0.398068 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001837 0.003122 0.005877 0.013930 0.050575 0.610588 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001824 0.003155 0.006098 0.015166 0.061574 1.236832 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001773 0.003102 0.006103 0.015694 0.069154 2.211717 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001689 0.002973 0.005903 0.015452 0.071227 3.085680 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001628 0.002890 0.005810 0.015581 0.076509 5.496568 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001554 0.002772 0.005617 0.015291 0.078169 8.289144 NaN